Techniques or Methods of Environmental scanning

Subject: Business Environment in Nepal

Overview

Environmental scanning is a technique of study of the general environment done aligned with the context of an organization. There are different techniques or methods of environmental scanning. It normally reveals equivocal, ambiguous, incomplete, unfinished data and information. 

Environmental scanning is a method of studying the overall environment used to pinpoint trends and structure organizations accordingly. The process of environmental scanning can be done in a variety of ways. It typically shows contradictory, unclear, insufficient, incomplete data and information. The scanning system needs to fit within the organization's setting. A scanning system hence may not be appropriate for a stable and fixed environment if it was developed for a volatile environment. For environmental scanning, many businesses also employ other techniques like specialized software and the internet.

Here are several examples:

  • Executive opinion method:
    • A different name for it is the executive judgment approach. It is predicted in these environmental scans based on opinion, conceit, and perspectives of senior executives. These executives form a panel that meets regularly.
  • Expert opinion method:
    • Environment forecasting in these situations is based on the perception of outside specialists, enthusiasts, or experts. The market environment, consumer tastes, and expert knowledge are much more well-versed. Although the executive judgment procedure is comparable to this one. However, it calls for outside specialists.
  • Delphi method:
    • This approach is a systematic extension of the expert opinion method that modifies a stage and creates a new forecasting method based on feedback from surveys and expert panel responses. It entails assembling a panel of experts and asking each member of the panel questions about the upcoming environmental trend on their own. The responses and summaries are then given back to the participants for evaluation. This procedure is repeated until an agreeable consensus is reached. The anonymous responses are collected and shared with the group after each round of the surveys, which are distributed in several rounds. In later rounds, the experts may revise and enhance their responses. Since multiple rounds of questions are asked and the panel is told what the group thinks as a whole, the Delphi method seeks to reach the appropriate and correct response through consensus.
  • Extrapolating method:
    • According to this method, the previous data is used to make assumptions about, make predictions about, and explore the future in addition to operating from the past. The future can be extrapolated using a variety of techniques, including time series, trend analysis, and regression analysis.
  • Historical analogy:
    • When historical data cannot be used successfully, this method analyzes environmental patterns using other trends that are parallel to historical trends. This qualitative tool is a way to gather enough data to compare observed and assess the efficacy of prospective adaption solutions from the other trend. These compared scenarios and conditions that can be usually compared for more major traits like time scale, severity, reversibility, significant effect sector, or exaggerated elements to see how well correct and actual adaption response worked out.
    • This method, which is typically used in conjunction with a quantitative evaluation of adaptation options, is extremely helpful during the initial survey stages of evaluating adaptation strategies to avoid duplicating research or to narrow the list of feasible, workable, possible, and practicable options. This method offers insight into how the adaptation process might function rather than a way to evaluate the trade-offs between various adaptation and adjustment options. Additionally, a past adaptation in one location at a certain period may not always be applicable to a future adaptation in another location.
  • Intuitive reasoning:
    • In this strategy, the scanner scans the surroundings using unbiased, ludicrous, logically sound, and rational intuition. Individual judgment that demands free thinking unrestricted by prior knowledge or personal biases is required to estimate environmental dynamics. The validity of this approach is in doubt. However, it is impossible to assess the reliability and validity of such conclusions. Intuitive decision-making involves additional sensors such as a gut feeling, sixth sense, innate impulse, inner sense, instinct, inner voice, spiritual guide, etc., and goes beyond employing common sense. The site has several pages dedicated to encouraging and raising awareness of the instinctive information-gathering process so that it can recognize and be alerted to information from the outside world. People who can't accept the existence of such sensors may instead call it tapping into "collective intelligence" or "collective unconscious".
  • Scenario building:
    • By providing a context for evaluating, planning, and programming, scenario building helps decision-makers by reducing ambiguity and increasing understanding about the effects of actions that have been taken or will be taken in the present. Scenarios are compiled images of potential futures. They are constructed using a time-ordered series of events that have a logical and reasonable cause and effect relationship with one another, with forecasts based on these linkages. Future contingencies are addressed in scenarios.The main goal of scenarios and scenario development is to make it feasible for decision-makers to identify and investigate all, or as many, potential futures in order to clarify current actions and their effects. Therefore, they should be stopped from making strategic decisions before they have thought strategically.
  • Cross-impact matrix:
    • Under this approach, a coordinated and consistent description of the future is created by combining environmental forecasts made using diverse approaches. To establish the essential interactions between them, assess the internal coherence of the forecasts, and uncover potential impacts in each one, the cross-impact matrix is used. The cross-impact analysis has more recently been used on its own or in conjunction with other techniques to address a variety of research questions on a variety of topics, including the future of a particular industrial sector, the geopolitical evolution of the world, the future of group activities, and the future of jobs.
  • Network method
    • Contingency trees and relevance trees are the most common in this networking technique. A contingency tree is a visual representation of the logical linkages between environmental trends and possible outcomes. A relevance tree is a logical network that ranks environmental trends according to their significance in relation to a result, much like a contingency tree. The network analysis techniques are employed in project management when the elements are important project activities and the calculation of the critical path is the primary goal.

Importance of Environmental Scanning:

  • Signals threats: 
    • It offers an early warning of threats or impending danger, which can be neutralized or reduced if noticed early on in the initial phase.
  • Customer needs:
    • It alerts a company to the shifting needs, preferences, tastes, and demands of the clientele.
  • Capitalize opportunities:
    • It enables a company to seize chances early than its rivals.
  • Qualitative information:
    • It offers a foundation of impartial and high-quality data on the environment that may be used for strategic management.
  • Intellectual stimulation:
    • It helps managers make decisions by stimulating their cognitive processes.
    • It enhances the organization's reputation for being environmentally conscious and responsive.

Reference:

  • Pant, P. R. (2009). Business Environment in Nepal (SIXTH ed.). Kathmandu, Nepal: Buddha Academic Publishers and Distributers.
  • wisenepali.com › Business
  • ukessays.com/.../importance-of-environmental-scanning-marketing-essay..
Things to remember
  • Executive opinion method is also known as executive judgment method. 
  • It provides cognitive stimulation to managers in their decision making.
  • It improves the image and reputation of the organization .
  • Cross-impact matrix is used to search necessary interactions among them, to determine the internal consistency of the forecasts and to find out potentialities impact in each of them. 

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